TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 12:26 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Katarina Kujovic and Marine Szostak in the W75 Le Neubourg, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katarina Kujovic' if Katarina Kujovic advances against Marine Szostak. This market will resolve to 'Marine Szostak' if Marine Szostak advances against Katarina Kujovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Katarina Kujovic and Marine Szostak in the W75 Le Neubourg, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katarina Kujovic' if Katarina Kujovic advances against Marine Szostak. This market will resolve to 'Marine Szostak' if Marine Szostak advances against Katarina Kujovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players' chances. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information, potentially offering a more efficient assessment of the likely result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that player’s victory. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds reflect the most up-to-date collective intelligence regarding the match.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Le Neubourg tennis match between Katarina Kujovic and Marine Szostak, as declared by the tournament organizers. The player who wins the match will determine the winning outcome in this market, and shares representing that player’s victory will be redeemed at a value of 1 USDC per share.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates or recent match results, could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions at Le Neubourg, which might favor one player’s style of play over the other, could also impact the market. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes could also contribute to movement. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely be reflected in the trading activity and, therefore, the odds.