TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 10:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Fiona Crawley and Naiktha Bains in the W75 Le Neubourg, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fiona Crawley' if Fiona Crawley advances against Naiktha Bains. This market will resolve to 'Naiktha Bains' if Naiktha Bains advances against Fiona Crawley. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Fiona Crawley and Naiktha Bains in the W75 Le Neubourg, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fiona Crawley' if Fiona Crawley advances against Naiktha Bains. This market will resolve to 'Naiktha Bains' if Naiktha Bains advances against Fiona Crawley. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s odds are driven by real-money trading. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, risk assessment, or simply varying opinions among market participants. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or late-developing insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Crawley vs Bains match.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W75 Le Neubourg match between Fiona Crawley and Naiktha Bains. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available match data. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Fiona Crawley or Naiktha Bains, or changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface) could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in women’s tennis, could also contribute to price movements. Significant volume spikes or large trades could also signal shifts in market expectations before the match takes place.