TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Charlotte Maurey and Paula Cembranos in the W75 Le Neubourg, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Charlotte Maurey' if Charlotte Maurey advances against Paula Cembranos. This market will resolve to 'Paula Cembranos' if Paula Cembranos advances against Charlotte Maurey. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Charlotte Maurey and Paula Cembranos in the W75 Le Neubourg, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Charlotte Maurey' if Charlotte Maurey advances against Paula Cembranos. This market will resolve to 'Paula Cembranos' if Paula Cembranos advances against Charlotte Maurey. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a player has a better chance of winning than sportsbooks suggest, the price of shares representing that player will increase. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a larger and more diverse pool of participants influencing this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each player’s chance of winning. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in their victory. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price, indicating decreasing confidence. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Le Neubourg tennis match between Charlotte Maurey and Paula Cembranos. The winner of the match, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any potential protests or appeals will be considered as part of the final determination, ensuring a fair and accurate resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact confidence levels. Furthermore, any public statements from tennis analysts or experts offering opinions on the likely outcome could introduce new information and affect the price of shares in this market. The market will react to any new data that influences perceptions of the players’ chances of winning.