TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 6:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasiia Firman and Martha MATOULA in the W75 Le Neubourg, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anastasiia Firman' if Anastasiia Firman advances against Martha MATOULA. This market will resolve to 'Martha MATOULA' if Martha MATOULA advances against Anastasiia Firman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasiia Firman and Martha MATOULA in the W75 Le Neubourg, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anastasiia Firman' if Anastasiia Firman advances against Martha MATOULA. This market will resolve to 'Martha MATOULA' if Martha MATOULA advances against Anastasiia Firman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that player. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust based on new information and changing sentiment. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Le Neubourg tennis match between Anastasiia Firman and Martha MATOULA. The platform will verify the winner based on widely available sources documenting the match's conclusion. The outcome will be determined by the official score reported by the tournament organizers and verified against credible public sources. The resolution process ensures a fair and transparent determination of the market's result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, could significantly impact the perceived probability of each player winning. Unexpected weather conditions at Le Neubourg could also play a role, potentially favoring one player's style of play over the other. Furthermore, significant trading volume from well-informed participants could signal a shift in sentiment and lead to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Sep 22, 2026.