TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 6:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alyssa Reguer and Mathilde Lollia in the W75 Le Neubourg, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alyssa Reguer' if Alyssa Reguer advances against Mathilde Lollia. This market will resolve to 'Mathilde Lollia' if Mathilde Lollia advances against Alyssa Reguer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alyssa Reguer and Mathilde Lollia in the W75 Le Neubourg, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alyssa Reguer' if Alyssa Reguer advances against Mathilde Lollia. This market will resolve to 'Mathilde Lollia' if Mathilde Lollia advances against Alyssa Reguer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay for a share representing a successful prediction of the race’s result.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the W75 Le Neubourg harness race, specifically determining which competitor, Alyssa Reguer or Mathilde Lollia, performed better. The platform will verify the results against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the race takes place. Any news regarding the condition of either competitor, Alyssa Reguer or Mathilde Lollia, such as injuries or changes in training, could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on race day could also impact performance and therefore market prices. Furthermore, any strategic announcements or changes in jockey pairings could introduce new information that traders react to, causing the market to adjust accordingly. Public sentiment and expert analysis could also play a role.