TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 9:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tian Jialin and Claudia Cairols Aparicio in the W50 Yecla, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tian Jialin' if Tian Jialin advances against Claudia Cairols Aparicio. This market will resolve to 'Claudia Cairols Aparicio' if Claudia Cairols Aparicio advances against Tian Jialin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tian Jialin and Claudia Cairols Aparicio in the W50 Yecla, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tian Jialin' if Tian Jialin advances against Claudia Cairols Aparicio. This market will resolve to 'Claudia Cairols Aparicio' if Claudia Cairols Aparicio advances against Tian Jialin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome – in this case, either Tian Jialin or Claudia Cairols Aparicio winning the match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, providing a dynamic and forward-looking view of the event’s potential outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Yecla tennis match between Tian Jialin and Claudia Cairols Aparicio. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and reporting to determine the final payout for shares in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and therefore the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts affecting the match schedule, could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants could temporarily impact the price, though the market typically self-corrects as more information becomes available and more traders participate.