TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 1:22 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Esther Lopez Alcaraz and Paula Cembranos in the W50 Yecla, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Esther Lopez Alcaraz' if Esther Lopez Alcaraz advances against Paula Cembranos. This market will resolve to 'Paula Cembranos' if Paula Cembranos advances against Esther Lopez Alcaraz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Esther Lopez Alcaraz and Paula Cembranos in the W50 Yecla, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Esther Lopez Alcaraz' if Esther Lopez Alcaraz advances against Paula Cembranos. This market will resolve to 'Paula Cembranos' if Paula Cembranos advances against Esther Lopez Alcaraz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome, allowing traders to express their views and profit if their predictions are correct. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Yecla tennis match between Esther Lopez Alcaraz and Paula Cembranos, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the Yecla tennis match might also cause traders to reassess their views. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants could create short-term price movements. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market before Sep 27, 2026.