TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 10:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandra Vagramov and Kateryna Lazarenko in the W50 Yecla, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Vagramov' if Alexandra Vagramov advances against Kateryna Lazarenko. This market will resolve to 'Kateryna Lazarenko' if Kateryna Lazarenko advances against Alexandra Vagramov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandra Vagramov and Kateryna Lazarenko in the W50 Yecla, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Vagramov' if Alexandra Vagramov advances against Kateryna Lazarenko. This market will resolve to 'Kateryna Lazarenko' if Kateryna Lazarenko advances against Alexandra Vagramov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, as traders can instantly adjust their positions based on developments surrounding the Yecla tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Yecla tennis match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price converges towards a consensus view. The market's liquidity, indicated by the trading volume, also influences price discovery. Higher volume generally leads to more accurate and efficient pricing, as it indicates greater participation and information flow.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Yecla tennis match between Alexandra Vagramov and Kateryna Lazarenko. The platform will verify the winner against publicly available sources to determine the winning share. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact sentiment. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can drive trading volume and price movements. Even seemingly minor developments, such as weather forecasts affecting the court surface, could be factored into traders' assessments of the Yecla tennis match.