TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 6:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Oceane Babel and Mayuka Aikawa in the W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oceane Babel' if Oceane Babel advances against Mayuka Aikawa. This market will resolve to 'Mayuka Aikawa' if Mayuka Aikawa advances against Oceane Babel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Oceane Babel and Mayuka Aikawa in the W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oceane Babel' if Oceane Babel advances against Mayuka Aikawa. This market will resolve to 'Mayuka Aikawa' if Mayuka Aikawa advances against Oceane Babel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with skin in the game. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players' strengths and weaknesses. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the expected outcome of the Saint-Palais-sur-Mer tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and represents the aggregated forecast of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will reflect which player ultimately wins the Saint-Palais-sur-Mer tennis match, as determined by the official tournament results. Resolution will occur promptly following the conclusion of the match and verification of the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Saint-Palais-sur-Mer tennis match takes place. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (such as weather forecasts), or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or strategic adjustments might also impact the market. Furthermore, significant bets placed by informed traders could also cause noticeable price movements, reflecting new information or insights.