TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 7:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marie Mattel and Emma Lene in the W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marie Mattel' if Marie Mattel advances against Emma Lene. This market will resolve to 'Emma Lene' if Emma Lene advances against Marie Mattel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marie Mattel and Emma Lene in the W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marie Mattel' if Marie Mattel advances against Emma Lene. This market will resolve to 'Emma Lene' if Emma Lene advances against Marie Mattel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading. If sportsbook odds strongly favor one player, but this market shows a more even split, it could indicate traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of an upset. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome – in this case, either Marie Mattel or Emma Lene winning the match. As more shares are purchased for one player, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability of victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, and the current price effectively represents the market’s consensus forecast. The total volume traded influences the reliability of the signal.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Saint-Palais-sur-Mer tennis match between Marie Mattel and Emma Lene. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament websites or sports news outlets. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome, reflecting the actual result of the competition.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, could significantly impact the perceived probability of each player winning. Unexpected weather conditions at Saint-Palais-sur-Mer on the day of the match could also play a role, potentially favoring one player’s playing style over the other. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a shift in market sentiment, causing a noticeable movement in the odds.