TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 11:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Fiona Ferro and Aurora Zantedeschi in the W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fiona Ferro' if Fiona Ferro advances against Aurora Zantedeschi. This market will resolve to 'Aurora Zantedeschi' if Aurora Zantedeschi advances against Fiona Ferro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Fiona Ferro and Aurora Zantedeschi in the W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fiona Ferro' if Fiona Ferro advances against Aurora Zantedeschi. This market will resolve to 'Aurora Zantedeschi' if Aurora Zantedeschi advances against Fiona Ferro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Often, you’ll find that prediction market probabilities align with those from sportsbooks, but divergences can occur, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. It’s useful to compare the two to see where the discrepancies lie and potentially identify value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Ferro vs Zantedeschi match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective probability assigned to each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by traders reacting to news, analysis, and their own individual insights. As more shares are traded, the price tends to converge towards a more accurate representation of the true probability of the event.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer match between Fiona Ferro and Aurora Zantedeschi. The platform will verify the result against official tournament data to determine the winning outcome. This ensures that the market settles accurately and fairly based on the actual event result, providing a clear and transparent resolution process for all traders.
Several signals could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. For example, if Fiona Ferro were to withdraw from the tournament due to injury, the market would likely move dramatically in favor of Aurora Zantedeschi. Additionally, expert analysis, weather forecasts, and even social media sentiment can all play a role in influencing trader behavior and ultimately, the price of shares in this market. Monitoring these factors can help you understand potential price movements.