TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 8:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Federica Urgesi and Lia Karatancheva in the W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federica Urgesi' if Federica Urgesi advances against Lia Karatancheva. This market will resolve to 'Lia Karatancheva' if Lia Karatancheva advances against Federica Urgesi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Federica Urgesi and Lia Karatancheva in the W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federica Urgesi' if Federica Urgesi advances against Lia Karatancheva. This market will resolve to 'Lia Karatancheva' if Lia Karatancheva advances against Federica Urgesi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and the expertise of oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market's life cycle, as prediction markets can quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities based on real-time trading activity. Comparing them can reveal interesting insights into public perception versus professional analysis.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer match between Federica Urgesi and Lia Karatancheva, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts affecting the match schedule, could also trigger shifts in sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in outlook, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading patterns will be key to understanding potential catalysts.