TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 2:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mayuka Aikawa and Anna Kmiecik in the W50 Plovdiv, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mayuka Aikawa' if Mayuka Aikawa advances against Anna Kmiecik. This market will resolve to 'Anna Kmiecik' if Anna Kmiecik advances against Mayuka Aikawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mayuka Aikawa and Anna Kmiecik in the W50 Plovdiv, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mayuka Aikawa' if Mayuka Aikawa advances against Anna Kmiecik. This market will resolve to 'Anna Kmiecik' if Anna Kmiecik advances against Mayuka Aikawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s prices are determined by supply and demand. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can influence the price here. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, risk assessments, or simply varying opinions on the likely outcome of the Aikawa vs Kmiecik match. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than traditional sources.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who buy shares in a particular outcome, the higher its price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence regarding the Aikawa vs Kmiecik match. The current top market is focused on total games, with a significant amount of volume.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Aikawa vs Kmiecik match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on the established rules of the game. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be eligible to receive their payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching changes might also have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements. Public opinion and analysis from tennis experts could also play a role, especially if they contradict the current market consensus regarding the Aikawa vs Kmiecik match.