TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Margaux Maquet and Lucie Petruzelova in the W50 Plovdiv, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Margaux Maquet' if Margaux Maquet advances against Lucie Petruzelova. This market will resolve to 'Lucie Petruzelova' if Lucie Petruzelova advances against Margaux Maquet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Margaux Maquet and Lucie Petruzelova in the W50 Plovdiv, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Margaux Maquet' if Margaux Maquet advances against Lucie Petruzelova. This market will resolve to 'Lucie Petruzelova' if Lucie Petruzelova advances against Margaux Maquet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance their risk, incorporating a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by participants’ beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into public perception versus professional analysis of the W50 Plovdiv tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated forecast of all traders on Polymarket regarding the W50 Plovdiv tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Plovdiv tennis match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player, Margaux Maquet or Lucie Petruzelova, ultimately wins the match. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome based on real-world events.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the probabilities within this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or even significant shifts in public sentiment could all impact the perceived likelihood of each player winning the W50 Plovdiv tennis match. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in the world of professional tennis, could also contribute to movement in the market. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into how the market is reacting to new information.