TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 6:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jule Niemeier and Lia Karatancheva in the W50 Plovdiv, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jule Niemeier' if Jule Niemeier advances against Lia Karatancheva. This market will resolve to 'Lia Karatancheva' if Lia Karatancheva advances against Jule Niemeier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jule Niemeier and Lia Karatancheva in the W50 Plovdiv, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jule Niemeier' if Jule Niemeier advances against Lia Karatancheva. This market will resolve to 'Lia Karatancheva' if Lia Karatancheva advances against Jule Niemeier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the match's outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that there is an arbitrage opportunity. It's important to note that prediction markets are forward-looking, incorporating expectations about potential events influencing the result.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Plovdiv match between Jule Niemeier and Lia Karatancheva, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against official sources to determine which outcome is the winner and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. For example, if Jule Niemeier were to withdraw from the tournament due to injury, the price of shares representing a Lia Karatancheva victory would likely increase. Similarly, updates on court surface conditions or weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players leading up to the event could also influence the market.