TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 5:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gaia Maduzzi and Amelia Paszun in the W50 Plovdiv, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gaia Maduzzi' if Gaia Maduzzi advances against Amelia Paszun. This market will resolve to 'Amelia Paszun' if Amelia Paszun advances against Gaia Maduzzi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gaia Maduzzi and Amelia Paszun in the W50 Plovdiv, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gaia Maduzzi' if Gaia Maduzzi advances against Amelia Paszun. This market will resolve to 'Amelia Paszun' if Amelia Paszun advances against Gaia Maduzzi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market's odds are driven by actual money being wagered. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, resulting in odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of an event occurring. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers not available in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Plovdiv tennis match between Gaia Maduzzi and Amelia Paszun. Specifically, the outcome will reflect which player won the match, as reported by official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning share and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution process.
Several signals could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather impacting an outdoor match), or updates on player form could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis tournaments, might also play a role. Furthermore, significant trading volume from well-informed participants could indicate new information is being incorporated into the price. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing trading activity on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential market movements.