TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 8:02 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Elizara Yaneva and Ane Mintegi Del Olmo in the W50 Plovdiv, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elizara Yaneva' if Elizara Yaneva advances against Ane Mintegi Del Olmo. This market will resolve to 'Ane Mintegi Del Olmo' if Ane Mintegi Del Olmo advances against Elizara Yaneva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Elizara Yaneva and Ane Mintegi Del Olmo in the W50 Plovdiv, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elizara Yaneva' if Elizara Yaneva advances against Ane Mintegi Del Olmo. This market will resolve to 'Ane Mintegi Del Olmo' if Ane Mintegi Del Olmo advances against Elizara Yaneva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Polymarket allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly favors one outcome. If a large number of people believe a particular player will win, the odds on Polymarket may shift more dramatically than at a sportsbook. It's common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks in accuracy, as they aggregate diverse opinions and incentivize informed trading.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd, constantly updating as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Plovdiv tennis match between Elizara Yaneva and Ane Mintegi Del Olmo. The platform will rely on widely accepted and publicly available sources to determine the winner. This ensures a transparent and objective outcome for all traders involved in this market. The final result will be used to determine which shares pay out and at what value.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or recent performance in other tournaments could cause shifts in sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact the market, as traders reassess their probabilities. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market effectively.