TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 7:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Eleonora Toneva and Laura Mair in the W50 Plovdiv, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eleonora Toneva' if Eleonora Toneva advances against Laura Mair. This market will resolve to 'Laura Mair' if Laura Mair advances against Eleonora Toneva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Eleonora Toneva and Laura Mair in the W50 Plovdiv, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eleonora Toneva' if Eleonora Toneva advances against Laura Mair. This market will resolve to 'Laura Mair' if Laura Mair advances against Eleonora Toneva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the players' chances. It's common to see prediction markets reflect public sentiment more closely than sportsbook lines, especially after significant news or developments.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Eleonora Toneva versus Laura Mair tennis match in Plovdiv. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. The outcome will be determined by which player is declared the official winner of the match, as reported by these sources.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts affecting the match schedule could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements. Public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also impact trading behavior and, consequently, the market’s price.