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OPEN INTEREST:
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406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 8:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Caijsa Wilda Hennemann and Anja Stankovic in the W50 Plovdiv, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Caijsa Wilda Hennemann' if Caijsa Wilda Hennemann advances against Anja Stankovic. This market will resolve to 'Anja Stankovic' if Anja Stankovic advances against Caijsa Wilda Hennemann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Caijsa Wilda Hennemann and Anja Stankovic in the W50 Plovdiv, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Caijsa Wilda Hennemann' if Caijsa Wilda Hennemann advances against Anja Stankovic. This market will resolve to 'Anja Stankovic' if Anja Stankovic advances against Caijsa Wilda Hennemann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance their risk and ensure profitability, while this market relies on individuals wagering their own capital based on their assessments. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that prediction market traders possess information or insights not fully incorporated into the sportsbook's pricing. It's important to consider both sources when forming your own opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Plovdiv tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is directly derived from the share price, offering a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the W50 Plovdiv tennis match between Caijsa Wilda Hennemann and Anja Stankovic. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning player. The outcome will be based on the official match result as recorded by the tournament organizers and reported by reputable sports news outlets.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, such as injuries or recent match results, could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location might also impact the perceived chances of each player. Furthermore, changes in public sentiment, reflected in betting activity on Polymarket, can drive price movements. Finally, any late-breaking information about player strategies or coaching changes could also contribute to shifts in the market.