TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 12:46 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Margaux Maquet and Stefania Bojica in the W50 Pazardzhik, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Margaux Maquet' if Margaux Maquet advances against Stefania Bojica. This market will resolve to 'Stefania Bojica' if Stefania Bojica advances against Margaux Maquet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Margaux Maquet and Stefania Bojica in the W50 Pazardzhik, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Margaux Maquet' if Margaux Maquet advances against Stefania Bojica. This market will resolve to 'Stefania Bojica' if Stefania Bojica advances against Margaux Maquet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can be insightful, as the market may incorporate information not yet fully reflected in sportsbook lines. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s efficiency relies on active trading and informed participants, leading to a dynamic and responsive price discovery process. The current implied probability of a specific outcome is reflected in the share price.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Pazardzhik match between Margaux Maquet and Stefania Bojica. The platform will utilize publicly available and authoritative sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, as this will be the basis for settlement. The market will close and payouts will be distributed shortly after the official result is confirmed.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in related matches or tournaments might also cause traders to reassess their positions. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in sentiment. Public opinion and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role, although the market ultimately reflects the willingness of traders to back their beliefs with capital. Monitoring these signals can help understand potential market movements.