TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 8:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gaia Maduzzi and Ralitsa Alexandrova in the W50 Pazardzhik, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gaia Maduzzi' if Gaia Maduzzi advances against Ralitsa Alexandrova. This market will resolve to 'Ralitsa Alexandrova' if Ralitsa Alexandrova advances against Gaia Maduzzi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gaia Maduzzi and Ralitsa Alexandrova in the W50 Pazardzhik, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gaia Maduzzi' if Gaia Maduzzi advances against Ralitsa Alexandrova. This market will resolve to 'Ralitsa Alexandrova' if Ralitsa Alexandrova advances against Gaia Maduzzi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by supply and demand. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the Maduzzi vs Alexandrova match, they can express that view by trading on Polymarket, potentially causing the odds to diverge from those offered by sportsbooks. This dynamic can lead to opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This creates a dynamic and responsive market that reflects the aggregate views of all participants regarding the Maduzzi vs Alexandrova match.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Pazardzhik match between Gaia Maduzzi and Ralitsa Alexandrova. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which player won the match and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 20, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant bets from well-known or respected traders on Polymarket might trigger further movement as others react to their actions. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading patterns will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.