TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 6:10 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Elizara Yaneva and Gaia Maduzzi in the W50 Pazardzhik, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elizara Yaneva' if Elizara Yaneva advances against Gaia Maduzzi. This market will resolve to 'Gaia Maduzzi' if Gaia Maduzzi advances against Elizara Yaneva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Elizara Yaneva and Gaia Maduzzi in the W50 Pazardzhik, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elizara Yaneva' if Elizara Yaneva advances against Gaia Maduzzi. This market will resolve to 'Gaia Maduzzi' if Gaia Maduzzi advances against Elizara Yaneva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that prediction market odds can be more volatile, especially closer to the event, as new information emerges and opinions shift.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The current top outcome, as indicated by share price, is the one with the highest implied probability according to traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Pazardzhik match between Elizara Yaneva and Gaia Maduzzi. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also cause price movements. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in outlook, leading to adjustments in the implied probabilities reflected in the share prices. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in this market.