TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Defne Cirpanli and Mayuka Aikawa in the W50 Pazardzhik, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Defne Cirpanli' if Defne Cirpanli advances against Mayuka Aikawa. This market will resolve to 'Mayuka Aikawa' if Mayuka Aikawa advances against Defne Cirpanli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Defne Cirpanli and Mayuka Aikawa in the W50 Pazardzhik, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Defne Cirpanli' if Defne Cirpanli advances against Mayuka Aikawa. This market will resolve to 'Mayuka Aikawa' if Mayuka Aikawa advances against Defne Cirpanli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sources, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts, providing a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Pazardzhik tennis match between Defne Cirpanli and Mayuka Aikawa. Any official announcements regarding the match's result will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either Cirpanli or Aikawa, or broader trends in women’s tennis, could also impact the market. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could also cause noticeable price movements, reflecting new information or a change in overall market perception.