TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 6:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Kuczer and Amarissa Kiara Toth in the W50 Pazardzhik, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Kuczer' if Daria Kuczer advances against Amarissa Kiara Toth. This market will resolve to 'Amarissa Kiara Toth' if Amarissa Kiara Toth advances against Daria Kuczer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Kuczer and Amarissa Kiara Toth in the W50 Pazardzhik, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Kuczer' if Daria Kuczer advances against Amarissa Kiara Toth. This market will resolve to 'Amarissa Kiara Toth' if Amarissa Kiara Toth advances against Daria Kuczer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome, they can express that view through trading activity, causing the prediction market odds to diverge. It's common to see differences, especially before significant events or new information emerges.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, indicating growing confidence, while selling pressure lowers it. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating in the market, creating a constantly updated forecast for the Kuczer vs Toth match.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Pazardzhik tennis match between Daria Kuczer and Amarissa Kiara Toth, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader tournament results, might also lead to reassessment of probabilities. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants, or even large individual trades, can create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading patterns will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market before Sep 21, 2026.