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$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
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Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 10:58 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tiana Tian Deng and Yuna Sugiyama in the W50 Nanao, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tiana Tian Deng' if Tiana Tian Deng advances against Yuna Sugiyama. This market will resolve to 'Yuna Sugiyama' if Yuna Sugiyama advances against Tiana Tian Deng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tiana Tian Deng and Yuna Sugiyama in the W50 Nanao, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tiana Tian Deng' if Tiana Tian Deng advances against Yuna Sugiyama. This market will resolve to 'Yuna Sugiyama' if Yuna Sugiyama advances against Tiana Tian Deng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each type of market operates. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket and is not influenced by external factors or other venues.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Nanao match between Tiana Tian Deng and Yuna Sugiyama. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the event itself, such as changes to the schedule or venue, could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and events can help you understand the evolving dynamics of this market and potentially identify trading opportunities.