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406,065
Markets across
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Closed: Sep 26, 12:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sayaka Ishii and Hiromi Abe in the W50 Nanao, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sayaka Ishii' if Sayaka Ishii advances against Hiromi Abe. This market will resolve to 'Hiromi Abe' if Hiromi Abe advances against Sayaka Ishii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sayaka Ishii and Hiromi Abe in the W50 Nanao, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sayaka Ishii' if Sayaka Ishii advances against Hiromi Abe. This market will resolve to 'Hiromi Abe' if Hiromi Abe advances against Sayaka Ishii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different set of information and incentives than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. As a result, you may see differences in the implied probabilities between Polymarket and sportsbook offerings. These discrepancies can arise from differing expert opinions, unique information available to traders, or simply variations in risk assessment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer we get to the event, the more the price will likely reflect the perceived likelihood of each outcome, as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Nanao match between Sayaka Ishii and Hiromi Abe. The platform will rely on publicly available and widely accepted sources to determine the winner of the match, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized and the results are officially confirmed.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding the physical condition of Sayaka Ishii or Hiromi Abe, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Updates on their recent performance in other matches, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions affecting the competition could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements or public statements from either athlete or their teams could also create movement in this market, as traders react to new information.