TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 1:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kamonwan Yodpetch and Yui Chikaraishi in the W50 Nanao, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kamonwan Yodpetch' if Kamonwan Yodpetch advances against Yui Chikaraishi. This market will resolve to 'Yui Chikaraishi' if Yui Chikaraishi advances against Kamonwan Yodpetch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kamonwan Yodpetch and Yui Chikaraishi in the W50 Nanao, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kamonwan Yodpetch' if Kamonwan Yodpetch advances against Yui Chikaraishi. This market will resolve to 'Yui Chikaraishi' if Yui Chikaraishi advances against Kamonwan Yodpetch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can also be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, driven by informed traders on Polymarket, may reveal different probabilities than those offered by sportsbooks, potentially identifying discrepancies or areas where the crowd believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. It's a valuable comparison point for anyone looking to make informed wagers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. Currently, the market is indicating a certain level of confidence in one outcome, but this can change rapidly based on trading activity and external developments. The current volume suggests moderate interest in this contest.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kamonwan Yodpetch vs Yui Chikaraishi match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any factors that might influence the final result and how they are reflected in the market.
Several signals could move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the fighters’ condition, such as injuries or changes in training regimens, would likely have a significant impact. Updates on their recent performance in other matches, or any strategic adjustments they announce, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, public sentiment and expert analysis leading up to the fight could influence trading activity on Polymarket and cause the market to react. Unexpected developments in the days leading up to the match will be closely watched by traders.