TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
- Polymarket
Completed Match - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 23, 2026
Closed: Sep 22, 11:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiangxue HAN and Kurumi Tamura in the W50 Nanao, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiangxue HAN' if Jiangxue HAN advances against Kurumi Tamura. This market will resolve to 'Kurumi Tamura' if Kurumi Tamura advances against Jiangxue HAN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiangxue HAN and Kurumi Tamura in the W50 Nanao, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiangxue HAN' if Jiangxue HAN advances against Kurumi Tamura. This market will resolve to 'Kurumi Tamura' if Kurumi Tamura advances against Jiangxue HAN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Therefore, you may see discrepancies between the two. It’s common to find that prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook odds, especially when there's significant public information available and a large number of participants trading in this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven entirely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the pricing. This creates a dynamic environment where the market price constantly adjusts to incorporate new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura match.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Jiangxue HAN vs Kurumi Tamura match as reported by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute funds accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in prior matches for either Jiangxue HAN or Kurumi Tamura could significantly shift trader sentiment. Publicly available statistics, expert analysis, and even social media buzz surrounding the match can also contribute to price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements related to the event's scheduling or location might also play a role in how this market behaves leading up to Sep 30, 2026.