TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
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Completed Match - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 24, 2026
Closed: Sep 24, 12:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jia-Jing Lu and Tiana Tian Deng in the W50 Nanao, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jia-Jing Lu' if Jia-Jing Lu advances against Tiana Tian Deng. This market will resolve to 'Tiana Tian Deng' if Tiana Tian Deng advances against Jia-Jing Lu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jia-Jing Lu and Tiana Tian Deng in the W50 Nanao, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jia-Jing Lu' if Jia-Jing Lu advances against Tiana Tian Deng. This market will resolve to 'Tiana Tian Deng' if Tiana Tian Deng advances against Jia-Jing Lu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the players' chances. If significant differences emerge between this market and sportsbook odds, it may signal opportunities for value betting, where one side offers a more favorable expected return.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each player winning. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price converges towards what the crowd believes is the true probability. The platform uses a constant product market maker model, meaning the product of the share prices for each outcome remains constant, ensuring there's always liquidity for traders to express their views on the W50 Nanao tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the W50 Nanao tennis match, as officially declared by the tournament organizers, will determine the winning share in this market. Resolution will be based on the official results published by the tournament, and any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and fairness for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before the Oct 1, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even commentary from tennis analysts, could also impact the perceived probabilities. Significant volume spikes, driven by informed traders reacting to new information, are often a key indicator of potential shifts in the market’s outlook for the W50 Nanao tennis match.