TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 12:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Eri Shimizu and Hiromi Abe in the W50 Nanao, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eri Shimizu' if Eri Shimizu advances against Hiromi Abe. This market will resolve to 'Hiromi Abe' if Hiromi Abe advances against Eri Shimizu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Eri Shimizu and Hiromi Abe in the W50 Nanao, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eri Shimizu' if Eri Shimizu advances against Hiromi Abe. This market will resolve to 'Hiromi Abe' if Hiromi Abe advances against Eri Shimizu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective predictions of a diverse group of traders. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional betting markets, especially when information is scarce or complex. However, differences can arise due to varying levels of information and differing participant motivations. It’s important to consider both sources when forming an opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of shares will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changing conditions and provides a clear signal of market sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the W50 Nanao match between Eri Shimizu and Hiromi Abe. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in their strategies could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions, such as venue changes or weather impacts, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in sentiment and move the market. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.