TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 2:47 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Eme Shinchi and Miyu Nakashima in the W50 Nanao, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eme Shinchi' if Eme Shinchi advances against Miyu Nakashima. This market will resolve to 'Miyu Nakashima' if Miyu Nakashima advances against Eme Shinchi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Eme Shinchi and Miyu Nakashima in the W50 Nanao, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eme Shinchi' if Eme Shinchi advances against Miyu Nakashima. This market will resolve to 'Miyu Nakashima' if Miyu Nakashima advances against Eme Shinchi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can stem from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the event’s likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all traders involved in the market.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Eme Shinchi vs Miyu Nakashima match, as determined by the governing body or official sources for the sport. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome and their positions in the market. The platform will verify the result and distribute funds accordingly.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all impact perceptions of each player’s chances. Unexpected announcements or developments related to the match, such as changes in venue or scheduling, could also cause significant movement. Furthermore, large trading volumes from informed bettors could signal shifts in sentiment and drive price changes in this market.