TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 1:06 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentina Ivanov and Matilde Jorge in the W50 Leiria, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentina Ivanov' if Valentina Ivanov advances against Matilde Jorge. This market will resolve to 'Matilde Jorge' if Matilde Jorge advances against Valentina Ivanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentina Ivanov and Matilde Jorge in the W50 Leiria, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentina Ivanov' if Valentina Ivanov advances against Matilde Jorge. This market will resolve to 'Matilde Jorge' if Matilde Jorge advances against Valentina Ivanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals freely trading and expressing their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing these odds can reveal where the crowd diverges from professional oddsmakers, potentially highlighting undervalued or overvalued outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific player, the price of those shares increases, indicating a growing expectation of their victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Leiria tennis match between Valentina Ivanov and Matilde Jorge. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and reporting to determine the winning outcome of this market. The resolution process aims to be transparent and based on readily available, publicly accessible data.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant performance updates could shift traders’ expectations. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, large volume trades from influential participants could create short-term price swings as traders react to new information or adjust their positions based on evolving insights.