TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 6:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Caroline Werner and Elena Micic in the W50 Leiria, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Caroline Werner' if Caroline Werner advances against Elena Micic. This market will resolve to 'Elena Micic' if Elena Micic advances against Caroline Werner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Caroline Werner and Elena Micic in the W50 Leiria, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Caroline Werner' if Caroline Werner advances against Elena Micic. This market will resolve to 'Elena Micic' if Elena Micic advances against Caroline Werner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated an ability to be as accurate, or even more accurate, than traditional forecasting methods like polls or expert predictions. It’s important to remember that both approaches have their strengths and weaknesses when assessing the likely outcome of the Leiria tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Leiria tennis match between Caroline Werner and Elena Micic, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning player and settle the market accordingly. Traders will then receive payouts based on their holdings in the winning outcome shares.
Several signals or events could influence the trading activity and price movements in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (such as weather), or updates on player form could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event, or even social media discussions about the players’ chances, could also contribute to shifts in the market. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the Leiria tennis match has the potential to move this market.