TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 11:54 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yufei Ren and Zhuoxuan Bai in the W50 Guiyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yufei Ren' if Yufei Ren advances against Zhuoxuan Bai. This market will resolve to 'Zhuoxuan Bai' if Zhuoxuan Bai advances against Yufei Ren. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yufei Ren and Zhuoxuan Bai in the W50 Guiyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yufei Ren' if Yufei Ren advances against Zhuoxuan Bai. This market will resolve to 'Zhuoxuan Bai' if Zhuoxuan Bai advances against Yufei Ren. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk assessment, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of many individual traders. Frequently, prediction markets can be more accurate, especially when there's a significant amount of volume. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes be more favorable depending on the specific outcome and the timing of your bet. It’s always wise to compare both to make an informed decision.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, indicating growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Yufei Ren vs Zhuoxuan Bai match. Any official announcements regarding the match’s completion and the winner will serve as the basis for determining the outcome of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in public opinion could cause traders to reassess their predictions. Unexpected performance during the match itself would also be a major catalyst. Furthermore, large-volume trades by influential traders on Polymarket could quickly shift the odds, reflecting a change in market sentiment. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential price movements.