TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 1:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yufei Ren and Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA in the W50 Guiyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yufei Ren' if Yufei Ren advances against Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA. This market will resolve to 'Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA' if Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA advances against Yufei Ren. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yufei Ren and Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA in the W50 Guiyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yufei Ren' if Yufei Ren advances against Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA. This market will resolve to 'Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA' if Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA advances against Yufei Ren. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on their own models and to balance their risk, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, the odds on Polymarket may move in the opposite direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Guiyang tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the match's likely result. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share, essentially betting on the outcome of the Guiyang tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the tennis match between Yufei Ren and Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA in Guiyang. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results to determine which outcome resolves as true. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could cause the odds to move. Unexpected weather forecasts in Guiyang or reports about a player’s recent performance in practice matches could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket can quickly shift the price, especially if they signal a strong conviction from informed traders regarding the outcome of the Guiyang tennis match.