TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 3:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Xinxin Yao and Alexandra Shubladze in the W50 Guiyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xinxin Yao' if Xinxin Yao advances against Alexandra Shubladze. This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Shubladze' if Alexandra Shubladze advances against Xinxin Yao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Xinxin Yao and Alexandra Shubladze in the W50 Guiyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xinxin Yao' if Xinxin Yao advances against Alexandra Shubladze. This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Shubladze' if Alexandra Shubladze advances against Xinxin Yao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it might suggest an opportunity for value betting, though it’s important to consider the different motivations and information sources influencing each set of odds. Examining these differences can provide a broader perspective on the potential result.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Xinxin Yao vs Alexandra Shubladze match, as reported by the governing body of the W50 Guiyang tournament. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Xinxin Yao or Alexandra Shubladze could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected announcements related to the tournament itself, such as venue changes or rule modifications, could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants or shifts in broader tennis betting sentiment can all contribute to price fluctuations before Sep 18, 2026.