TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 7:53 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sijia Wei and Meiqi Guo in the W50 Guiyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sijia Wei' if Sijia Wei advances against Meiqi Guo. This market will resolve to 'Meiqi Guo' if Meiqi Guo advances against Sijia Wei. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sijia Wei and Meiqi Guo in the W50 Guiyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sijia Wei' if Sijia Wei advances against Meiqi Guo. This market will resolve to 'Meiqi Guo' if Meiqi Guo advances against Sijia Wei. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently or anticipates factors not fully accounted for by sportsbooks. It's important to consider both sources when evaluating the potential outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time forecast. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is derived from its share price relative to the total pool of funds.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sijia Wei vs Meiqi Guo match as reported by an authoritative source for W50 Guiyang tournament results. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected developments in the W50 Guiyang tournament could shift trader sentiment. Significant betting activity from informed traders, or even large volume trades, can also cause price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely impact the market price, reflecting the evolving expectations of the Polymarket community.