TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 11:22 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA and Darya Astakhova in the W50 Guiyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA' if Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA advances against Darya Astakhova. This market will resolve to 'Darya Astakhova' if Darya Astakhova advances against Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA and Darya Astakhova in the W50 Guiyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA' if Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA advances against Darya Astakhova. This market will resolve to 'Darya Astakhova' if Darya Astakhova advances against Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probabilities as assessed by traders. This can result in differences, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market allows for a more dynamic and potentially accurate reflection of collective belief. It's common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks in terms of forecast accuracy, though discrepancies can occur due to differing information access and market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA versus Darya Astakhova match in Guiyang. The platform will verify the outcome against widely available and trusted sources to determine which player emerged victorious. The market will then settle, and shares will be redeemed based on the final result. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, reflecting the actual result of the tennis match.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates or recent match performances, could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions in Guiyang, potentially affecting playing style, might also play a role. Unexpected announcements related to player strategies or coaching changes could also move the market. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a shift in sentiment, causing the price to adjust accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements.