TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 10:05 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matilde Jorge and Katie Swan in the W50 Evora, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matilde Jorge' if Matilde Jorge advances against Katie Swan. This market will resolve to 'Katie Swan' if Katie Swan advances against Matilde Jorge. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matilde Jorge and Katie Swan in the W50 Evora, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matilde Jorge' if Matilde Jorge advances against Katie Swan. This market will resolve to 'Katie Swan' if Katie Swan advances against Matilde Jorge. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately forecast the true probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion about the players' chances in the Evora tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Evora tennis match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of a particular player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand for shares on Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or a central authority.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Evora tennis match between Matilde Jorge and Katie Swan, as declared by the official tournament organizers. The player who wins the match will be considered the winning outcome for this market. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, relying on publicly available information to determine the final result.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 18, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (such as weather), or updates on their recent performance could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about either Matilde Jorge or Katie Swan, such as illness or a change in coaching staff, could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, any shifts in public opinion, as reflected in betting odds from sportsbooks, might prompt traders to reassess their positions and adjust their bids in this market.