TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 10:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Martinez Vaquero and Anastasia Gasanova in the W50 Evora, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Martinez Vaquero' if Maria Martinez Vaquero advances against Anastasia Gasanova. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Gasanova' if Anastasia Gasanova advances against Maria Martinez Vaquero. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Martinez Vaquero and Anastasia Gasanova in the W50 Evora, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Martinez Vaquero' if Maria Martinez Vaquero advances against Anastasia Gasanova. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Gasanova' if Anastasia Gasanova advances against Maria Martinez Vaquero. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players’ form. It’s common to see this market and sportsbook odds converge as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a specific outcome – in this case, either Maria Martinez Vaquero or Anastasia Gasanova winning the match. The price of each share reflects the current market consensus. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving expectations for the Evora tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Evora tennis match between Maria Martinez Vaquero and Anastasia Gasanova, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which player emerged victorious and settle the market accordingly.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the Evora event might also impact perceptions of each player’s form. Furthermore, significant bets placed by informed traders could trigger price movements, reflecting their strong conviction about the likely outcome of the Evora tennis match.