TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 9:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kayla Cross and Giulia Pereira De Aguiar in the W50 Evora, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kayla Cross' if Kayla Cross advances against Giulia Pereira De Aguiar. This market will resolve to 'Giulia Pereira De Aguiar' if Giulia Pereira De Aguiar advances against Kayla Cross. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kayla Cross and Giulia Pereira De Aguiar in the W50 Evora, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kayla Cross' if Kayla Cross advances against Giulia Pereira De Aguiar. This market will resolve to 'Giulia Pereira De Aguiar' if Giulia Pereira De Aguiar advances against Kayla Cross. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own research or intuition. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but they are derived through different mechanisms and can fluctuate independently.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each player winning. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. As more people buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available, leading to dynamic price adjustments based on collective sentiment. This creates a real-time assessment of the match's potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Evora tennis match between Kayla Cross and Giulia Pereira De Aguiar, as declared by the governing tennis authorities. The player who wins the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the settlement of all outstanding shares.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like court surface or weather), or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the Evora event might also impact perceptions of player form and confidence. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in betting patterns or expert analysis, could also drive price changes in this market.