TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 6:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Greet Minnen and Teresa Franco Dias in the W50 Evora, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Greet Minnen' if Greet Minnen advances against Teresa Franco Dias. This market will resolve to 'Teresa Franco Dias' if Teresa Franco Dias advances against Greet Minnen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Greet Minnen and Teresa Franco Dias in the W50 Evora, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Greet Minnen' if Greet Minnen advances against Teresa Franco Dias. This market will resolve to 'Teresa Franco Dias' if Teresa Franco Dias advances against Greet Minnen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability of an event occurring, as determined by traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome or a potential arbitrage opportunity. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sources.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Minnen vs Franco Dias match. The price of these shares reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd, converging towards the estimated probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is influenced by new information, trading activity, and overall sentiment surrounding the players and the event.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Evora tennis match between Greet Minnen and Teresa Franco Dias. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final share price.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also shift expectations. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, reflected in external polls or analysis, might lead traders to reassess their positions and adjust their bids, causing fluctuations in the market price. The closer we get to Sep 15, 2026, the more sensitive the market will likely be to new information.