TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 7:53 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Elena Micic and Xinyu Gao in the W50 Evora, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elena Micic' if Elena Micic advances against Xinyu Gao. This market will resolve to 'Xinyu Gao' if Xinyu Gao advances against Elena Micic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Elena Micic and Xinyu Gao in the W50 Evora, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elena Micic' if Elena Micic advances against Xinyu Gao. This market will resolve to 'Xinyu Gao' if Xinyu Gao advances against Elena Micic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the result. As such, the odds here can sometimes reflect a more accurate probability assessment, though discrepancies can occur due to differing information or market sentiment. It's useful to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregate assessment of all traders participating in this market, offering a dynamic and real-time probability estimate for the Evora tennis match. Volume and open interest also influence price discovery.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Evora tennis match between Elena Micic and Xinyu Gao, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the match result as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either Elena Micic or Xinyu Gao would also likely cause movement. Furthermore, major weather forecasts for Evora, if they suggest conditions favoring one player's style of play, could also impact the market. Monitoring tennis news and analysis will be key to understanding potential catalysts.