TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 9:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ariana Arseneault and Rebecca Munk Mortensen in the W50 Evora, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ariana Arseneault' if Ariana Arseneault advances against Rebecca Munk Mortensen. This market will resolve to 'Rebecca Munk Mortensen' if Rebecca Munk Mortensen advances against Ariana Arseneault. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ariana Arseneault and Rebecca Munk Mortensen in the W50 Evora, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ariana Arseneault' if Ariana Arseneault advances against Rebecca Munk Mortensen. This market will resolve to 'Rebecca Munk Mortensen' if Rebecca Munk Mortensen advances against Ariana Arseneault. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees of the final result.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Evora match between Ariana Arseneault and Rebecca Munk Mortensen. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results to determine the winning share. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a change in expectations. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing trading activity on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential market movements leading up to Sep 13, 2026.