TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 2:55 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Olivia Lincer and Maria Sholokhova in the W50 Berkeley, CA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Olivia Lincer' if Olivia Lincer advances against Maria Sholokhova. This market will resolve to 'Maria Sholokhova' if Maria Sholokhova advances against Olivia Lincer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Olivia Lincer and Maria Sholokhova in the W50 Berkeley, CA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Olivia Lincer' if Olivia Lincer advances against Maria Sholokhova. This market will resolve to 'Maria Sholokhova' if Maria Sholokhova advances against Olivia Lincer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd and potentially incorporating information not yet priced into sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, leading to adjustments based on new information or shifts in sentiment. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as the event approaches and more data becomes available. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage or informed betting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the crowd. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and isn't influenced by external factors or pre-defined probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lincer vs Sholokhova match, as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 29, 2026. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy could all shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player could also impact the perceived likelihood of their success. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, particularly if it deviates significantly from the initial market pricing. Any significant developments related to the players or the tournament could lead to increased volume and price fluctuations.