TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
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Completed Match - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 23, 2026
Closed: Sep 23, 6:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Sholokhova and Anna Rogers in the W50 Berkeley, CA, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Sholokhova' if Maria Sholokhova advances against Anna Rogers. This market will resolve to 'Anna Rogers' if Anna Rogers advances against Maria Sholokhova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Sholokhova and Anna Rogers in the W50 Berkeley, CA, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Sholokhova' if Maria Sholokhova advances against Anna Rogers. This market will resolve to 'Anna Rogers' if Anna Rogers advances against Maria Sholokhova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides of a bet and ensure profitability. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own informed opinions, leading to odds that can diverge from sportsbook offerings. These differences can arise from varying information access, differing interpretations of data, or simply the influence of public sentiment. Examining these discrepancies can reveal insights into where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be mispricing the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changing conditions. The market's efficiency depends on the level of trading activity and the quality of information available to traders.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sholokhova vs Rogers match, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available and reliable sources to ensure accuracy. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date for any updates or changes that might affect the outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in prior matches for either Maria Sholokhova or Anna Rogers could significantly shift trader sentiment. Publicly released analysis from tennis experts, updated rankings, or even weather conditions at the match location could also play a role. Major shifts in betting volume, particularly from informed traders, could indicate new information is being factored into the market's assessment of the likely outcome. Monitoring these signals can help traders make more informed decisions.