TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 8:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kira Matushkina and Aishi Das in the W50 Berkeley, CA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kira Matushkina' if Kira Matushkina advances against Aishi Das. This market will resolve to 'Aishi Das' if Aishi Das advances against Kira Matushkina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kira Matushkina and Aishi Das in the W50 Berkeley, CA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kira Matushkina' if Kira Matushkina advances against Aishi Das. This market will resolve to 'Aishi Das' if Aishi Das advances against Kira Matushkina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and public betting patterns, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market lifecycle, as prediction markets can incorporate information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Polymarket may converge with those offered by sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kira Matushkina vs Aishi Das match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Kira Matushkina vs Aishi Das match, as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand the final determination.
Several signals could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the players’ recent performance, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or location might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, could influence traders’ beliefs and drive price movements. Monitoring these factors leading up to Sep 28, 2026 will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.