TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
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Completed Match - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 24, 2026
Closed: Sep 23, 6:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ena Koike and Lucciana Perez Alarcon in the W50 Berkeley, CA, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ena Koike' if Ena Koike advances against Lucciana Perez Alarcon. This market will resolve to 'Lucciana Perez Alarcon' if Lucciana Perez Alarcon advances against Ena Koike. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ena Koike and Lucciana Perez Alarcon in the W50 Berkeley, CA, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ena Koike' if Ena Koike advances against Lucciana Perez Alarcon. This market will resolve to 'Lucciana Perez Alarcon' if Lucciana Perez Alarcon advances against Ena Koike. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market's probabilities are determined by the collective predictions of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when there's significant public interest or debate surrounding an event. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb. This dynamic pricing system allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, making it a valuable tool for understanding the evolving expectations surrounding the Koike vs Perez Alarcon match.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Berkeley, CA match between Ena Koike and Lucciana Perez Alarcon. The platform will look to established sports news sources and official tournament records to determine the winner or if a draw occurred. Traders will then be paid out based on the final result and their holdings in the market. It's important to monitor news sources as the event approaches to stay informed.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market before Sep 30, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training schedules, or even weather conditions could shift expectations. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports news coverage, can also play a role. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving either player could also impact the market, as could any announcements related to the tournament itself. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market and refine your predictions for the Koike vs Perez Alarcon match.