TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 5:06 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Arina Bulatova and Jenna DeFalco in the W50 Berkeley, CA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arina Bulatova' if Arina Bulatova advances against Jenna DeFalco. This market will resolve to 'Jenna DeFalco' if Jenna DeFalco advances against Arina Bulatova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arina Bulatova and Jenna DeFalco in the W50 Berkeley, CA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arina Bulatova' if Arina Bulatova advances against Jenna DeFalco. This market will resolve to 'Jenna DeFalco' if Jenna DeFalco advances against Arina Bulatova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each possible result in the Bulatova vs DeFalco match.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Berkeley, CA match between Arina Bulatova and Jenna DeFalco. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or strategic changes could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or location might also have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market's probability assessment.