TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Madison Schwarz and Jessica Nolan in the W35 Wagga Wagga, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Madison Schwarz' if Madison Schwarz advances against Jessica Nolan. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Nolan' if Jessica Nolan advances against Madison Schwarz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Madison Schwarz and Jessica Nolan in the W35 Wagga Wagga, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Madison Schwarz' if Madison Schwarz advances against Jessica Nolan. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Nolan' if Jessica Nolan advances against Madison Schwarz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. This allows for a fluid adjustment of probabilities as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wagga Wagga tennis match between Madison Schwarz and Jessica Nolan. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which player won the match. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, based on the actual event result and not subjective interpretation.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to this event might also impact perceptions of player confidence. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by social media or expert analysis, could also cause movement. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the match outcome is key to understanding potential price fluctuations in this market.